Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212587          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000677262          28          55          14           3           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   4.86000e-08          48          46           5           1           0        B1.1
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            35.25       52.25       10.75        1.75        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.9