Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212199          37          59           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000670556          27          59          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.13000e-08          57          40           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.00       49.50        6.50        1.00        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2