Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211898          40          56           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000666371          29          60           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.08000e-08          55          42           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.75       49.50        5.75        1.00        0.00     B1.2
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1