Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212540          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000680415          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   6.19000e-08          21          64          14           1           0        B2.4
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            25.25       58.75       14.00        2.00        0.00     B2.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)