Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00211723          40          56           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000655878          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.94000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            39.00       52.75        7.25        1.00        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)