Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212141          37          59           3           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000660142          32          59           8           1           0        B1.6
GOES Xray  =   4.33000e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            43.25       50.25        5.75        0.75        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7