Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216996          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000695939          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.39000e-08          33          58           8           1           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            24.75       58.00       14.75        2.50        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B7.2