Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216932          26          56          16           2           0        B2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000701863          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   4.48000e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            38.75       47.75       12.00        1.50        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                      B1.4