Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216203          32          48          18           2           0        B2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683461          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.87000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            42.25       44.75       11.25        1.75        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)