Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213265          35          54           9           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000672288          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   5.23000e-08          37          55           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            30.00       57.25       11.25        1.50        0.00     B1.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)