Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212380          36          57           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000653148          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.93000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            42.25       49.00        7.50        1.25        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)