Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212950          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000666473          29          60           9           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   3.75000e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            35.00       55.00        8.25        1.75        0.00     B1.5
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)