Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213100          35          56           7           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000670000          26          61          11           2           0        B2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.81000e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            42.75       48.75        7.25        1.25        0.00     B1.3
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)