Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213438          38          53           7           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000681371          26          55          16           3           0        B2.6
GOES Xray  =   3.21000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            35.75       52.00       10.25        2.00        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7