Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212364          35          58           6           1           0        B1.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000671300          28          58          12           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   2.16000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            40.25       49.50        8.75        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1