Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213603          35          52          11           2           0        B1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000687883          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   4.32000e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            31.25       49.75       16.50        2.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0