Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213363          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686603          23          54          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   3.32000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            42.75       46.00        9.50        1.75        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0