Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213207          36          54           8           2           0        B1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000685323          24          53          19           4           0        B2.9
GOES Xray  =   3.43000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.00       45.75        9.50        1.75        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)