Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213307          35          54           9           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683586          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   2.97000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.00       46.25        9.00        1.75        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5