Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00213233          35          54           9           2           0        B1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000682737          26          55          16           3           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   3.06000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            43.25       46.25        9.00        1.50        0.00     B1.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)