Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212870          35          57           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000669468          27          61          10           2           0        B2.0
GOES Xray  =   1.75000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            34.00       52.75       11.25        2.00        0.00     B1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1