Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00212924          34          58           6           2           0        B1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000660527          32          59           8           1           0        B1.6
GOES Xray  =   3.01000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            44.50       48.25        6.25        1.00        0.00     B1.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)