Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225799           5          40          45          10           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000758375          16          41          34           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.52000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            33.25       39.25       22.50        5.00        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)