Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225879           5          37          47          11           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000768592          14          45          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.26000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.75       39.50       23.00        4.75        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)