Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225460           6          46          41           7           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000762750          13          43          37           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   6.39000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            32.50       41.50       22.25        3.75        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)