Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225557           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000770725          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.81000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             9          37          46          15           2           0        B1.6
 
together                            29.75       42.50       23.00        4.75        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)