Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226083           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000785316          13          48          33           6           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.84000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            24.75       44.50       25.25        5.50        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)