Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226805           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000797666          15          48          33           4           0        B5.6
GOES Xray  =   1.70000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.25       40.25       22.75        4.75        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)