Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226950           2          35          49          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000800684          14          46          34           6           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.17000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.00       39.25       23.50        5.25        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4