Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226126           4          37          46          13           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000787618          13          47          35           5           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   2.63000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            25.00       44.50       25.25        5.25        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8