Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226071           4          35          48          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790422          13          49          32           6           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   2.05000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            25.00       44.50       25.00        5.50        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.9