Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226155           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000790328          13          49          32           6           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.98000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            32.00       40.50       22.50        5.00        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)