Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225943           5          37          47          11           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000786475          13          46          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.16000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.50       39.75       23.50        4.25        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.1