Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225856           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000781927          12          47          34           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   2.31000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            24.75       45.00       25.50        4.75        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.2