Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225804           5          40          45          10           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000780845          13          47          33           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   2.60000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            24.25       46.75       24.00        5.00        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.0