Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226087           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000785957          13          48          34           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.19000e-08          38          54           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            18.50       50.00       26.25        5.25        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.9