Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226255           4          35          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789795          13          48          34           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   4.57000e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            22.00       47.00       25.25        5.75        0.00     B4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0