Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226551           3          36          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792959          14          45          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   6.71000e-08          15          68          16           1           0        B2.6
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            20.50       47.50       27.00        5.00        0.00     B4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0