Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226378           4          34          48          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789859          13          48          34           5           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   5.28000e-08          36          56           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.00       44.50       24.50        5.00        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2