Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226830           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000789367          13          47          35           5           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.01000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            31.75       40.00       23.25        5.00        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)