Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226430           4          34          47          15           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000783158          12          47          34           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.18000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.00       39.25       23.00        5.75        0.00     B3.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)