Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225816           5          39          47           9           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000777491          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            27.00       43.50       24.75        4.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)