Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225752           5          42          44           9           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000778937          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.50       41.75       21.50        4.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)