Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225721           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000775873          14          45          34           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            32.50       41.25       22.00        4.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7