Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226536           3          37          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000792684          14          45          36           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.90000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            24           8          54          33           5           0        B6.5
 
together                            21.50       43.00       29.50        6.00        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.6