Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226828           2          37          47          14           0        C1.6
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000795527          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   4.49000e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            30.00       41.75       23.25        5.00        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1