Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225702           5          43          43           9           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000777282          14          48          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            25.50       46.25       23.50        4.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)