Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225803           5          40          45          10           0        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000782429          12          46          35           7           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            25.00       45.00       25.00        5.00        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)