Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226595           2          37          47          14           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000798393          14          48          34           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   2.10000e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            32.00       40.25       23.00        4.75        0.00     B3.4
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)