Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227491           3          31          54          12           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817313          10          42          40           8           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   7.86000e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            18.25       45.25       30.75        5.75        0.00     B5.2
 
realized                                                                                      B7.6